Personal Finance Essentials
Illusion of Control Bias
- Back to Investment Management
- Start Now – and Never Stop
- Put Compounding to Work for You
- Maintain a Long-Term Perspective
- The Cost of Procrastination
- The Two Ways to Manage Your Investments
- The Power of Diversification
- Modern Portfolio Theory: A Scientific Approach to Investing
- The Importance of Rebalancing
- The Best Investment Approach of All: Dollar Cost Averaging
- Keeping More of Your Profits via Tax Loss Harvesting
- The Goal of Investing: Financial Security
- The Hidden Threat: Inflation and Taxes
- Understanding Risk and Volatility
- The Psychology of Investing: Overcoming Emotional Errors That Prove Costly
The Psychology of Investing > Illusion of Control Bias
This is the tendency to think your actions will influence an outcome even when they won’t.
You think you’re “in control,” even when you’re not. A stock will not rise merely because you buy it, any more than a lottery ticket is more likely to win because you personally picked the numbers.
This bias causes investors to believe that extensive research, frequent portfolio monitoring or active trading gives them an edge. In reality, these behaviors often reduce returns by increasing costs and creating more opportunities for emotional decision-making. The market does not respond to any individual investor’s intentions – and believing otherwise can lead you to take on far more risk than you realize.
